2022年11月17日 星期四

The Coronavirus Brief: How experts are doing Thanksgiving this year

And more pandemic news |

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Thursday, Nov. 17, 2022
BY KYLA MANDEL

How Some COVID-Cautious Experts Plan on Celebrating Thanksgiving

America’s third pandemic Thanksgiving may feel like the most normal holiday gathering in a while. AAA expects travel over the long weekend to reach 98% pre-pandemic levels, with an estimated 54.6 million people driving and flying to see loved ones. In fact, 2022 is on track to be the third busiest Thanksgiving since AAA started tracking these travel numbers in 2000.

At the beginning of the pandemic, celebrating Thanksgiving meant either virtual or very small in-person gatherings. Now that COVID-19 vaccines and medications are available, it makes it easier to see more family, “which is a beautiful thing,” says Dr. Juanita Mora, an allergy and immunology specialist at the Chicago Allergy Center and a national spokesperson for the American Lung Association. But that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t do your best to keep everyone safe this year—particularly since this Thanksgiving comes amid a new set of Omicron subvariants, a heavy flu season, and high RSV infection rates among children and older adults.

Mora tells TIME how she’s approaching this holiday season. “I'm trying to follow exactly what I'm telling patients,” she explains. “Our precautions should revolve around the most vulnerable person that's going to be at our Thanksgiving table: so that grandparent who’s having chemotherapy, that parent with diabetes, or a child who has asthma, or that brand-new baby.”

For Mora's family, their precautions “revolve around my dad who's 76. He's pretty healthy, but we want to make sure to keep him healthy.” The first step is to make sure everyone is up-to-date with their shots. “I'm the type of doctor that's very proactive with her family,” says Mora, which means she makes sure “everyone’s flu vaccinated and has COVID-19 updated boosters, including the kids.”

Mora's sister and her children will be visiting from California, and will have gotten their shots before traveling. She’s asking that all her family members wear a mask while traveling: “Mask on the plane, mask at the airport, mask at the train station, mask on the train as well, because all of that is going to be key in keeping our family members safe.”

Donald Milton, professor of environmental and occupational health at the University of Maryland, is also hosting family this year who are traveling, and they are taking a similar approach. “We consistently use N95s when in public places with possible close contact and/or low indoor air quality,” he says. On top of this, “we will use HEPA filters and DIY Corsi-Rosenthal boxes to reduce risk of transmitting COVID and flu,” he says, adding that “everyone, including the 8-month old grandchild, has been vaccinated and boosted multiple times when eligible.”

Those gathering for Mora's Thanksgiving will also be doing a “mini quarantine” in the week leading up to Thanksgiving dinner, she says; this means trying to limit the amount of people that they’re in contact with. “So no big events. Trying not to go to bars, not going to restaurants, shopping at the grocery store when there’s not going to be a lot of people,” Mora explains. “I'm a 7 A.M. grocery shopping kind of girl.”

Then, on the day prior to gathering, everyone will take a COVID-19 rapid test, says Mora. The same goes for Milton’s family: “We will ask everyone to test on two consecutive days, including the morning of the gathering or prior to arrival and stay away if they have either a positive test or symptoms," he says.

It’s also worth taking a few additional precautions once the holiday is over. Mora recommends wearing a mask for a week afterwards if it was a big family reunion or family festivity, “just to make sure” that nobody unwittingly spreads viruses. Also, consider doing a rapid test five days after the gathering or if people start feeling sick. Taking all these precautions to minimize the risk of infection will be key, she says, to getting through—and enjoying—the holidays.


TODAY'S CORONAVIRUS OUTLOOK

More than 636.2 million people around the world had been diagnosed with COVID-19 as of 10 A.M. today, and over 6.6 million people have died. On Nov. 16, there were 371,393 new cases and 2,105 new deaths confirmed globally.

Here's how the world as a whole is currently trending, in terms of cases:

And in terms of deaths:

Here's where daily cases have risen or fallen over the last 14 days, shown in confirmed cases per 100,000 residents:

And here's every country that has reported over 10 million cases:

The U.S. had recorded more than 98.1 million coronavirus cases as of 10 A.M. today. More than 1.07 million people have died. On Nov. 16, there were 83,096 new cases reported in the U.S., and 825 deaths were confirmed.

Here's how the country as a whole is currently trending in terms of cases:

And in terms of deaths:

Here's where daily cases have risen or fallen over the last 14 days, shown in confirmed cases per 100,000 residents:

All numbers unless otherwise specified are from the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering, and are accurate as of Nov. 17. To see larger, interactive versions of these maps and charts, click here.


WHAT ELSE YOU SHOULD KNOW

Home births in the U.S. rose during the pandemic, shows a study published today by the National Center for Health Statistics. The number of home births jumped 12% between 2020 and 2021, reports my colleague Tara Law. Overall, though, the rate of home births remains small; just 1.4% of all U.S. births last year occurred outside of a hospital.

BA.5 may not be the dominant strain of COVID-19 in the U.S. for much longer. According to the latest data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Omicron subvariants BQ.1.1 and BQ.1 together make up around 44% of new infections, while BA.5 makes up almost 30%.

Now that the Republicans will take control of the House next year, expect a “slew of probes into the origins of COVID-19, prescription drug middlemen, pandemic relief dollars, key federal health agencies and more,” writes Rachel Roubein at the Washington Post. Efforts to expand Medicare coverage under an economic package will likely also be severely hampered.


Thanks for reading. We hope you find the Coronavirus Brief newsletter to be a helpful tool to navigate this very complex situation, and welcome feedback at coronavirus.brief@time.com. If you have specific questions you'd like us to answer, please send them to covidquestions@time.com.

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Today's newsletter was written by Kyla Mandel and edited by Mandy Oaklander.

 
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